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Investment memo

Miami

General area shown. The exact address and Airbnb-approved building are shared under NDA when you reserve or book a call.

Miami, FL1BR1BA700 sqft$2,400/mo lease

The verdict
ACQUIREGrade S of S to D · Worth buying

Worth acquiring. The numbers clear our bar with room to spare.

Short term rentalCAUTION
$40,890Year-1 operating profit · base case
Cash-on-cash return
Money back in

Operating profit, before the one time startup capital, which the ROI and payback above already account for.

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Executive summary

This is one of the few genuinely favorable STR positions in the City of Miami: the subject sits in a purpose-built, Airbnb-approved condo tower (Miami, in the District 225 / Natiivo / Worldcenter cluster) inside a T6 zone where lodging is permitted — legal footing that most City of Miami condos simply cannot claim. Live comps in the immediate 0.3-mile ring confirm premium per-night pricing at or above the model's ADR, and the address is walkable to Bayfront Park (Ultra, FIFA Fan Fest) and Kaseya Center, giving it repeatable event-driven pricing power that hotels can't fully capture with a sleeps-four layout. The offsetting reality is supply: District 225, Natiivo, The Crosby, 501 First and a heavy 2026–2027 downtown pipeline are stacking near-identical amenity-rich units into the same blocks, so occupancy and pricing are supply-pressured and the blended-year economics sit closer to a solid-but-not-effortless cash-flow play than a runaway winner. Two diligence gates dominate the decision: the lease must explicitly permit STR (intake is UNSURE) and the full license stack plus mandatory building resort fees ($35–43/night) must be underwritten before committing. Net read: strong per-night and legal fundamentals with real supply and rent sensitivity — worth pursuing conditional on the lease/permit confirmations. Note: Comp ADRs shown are base nightly rates. Y1 Net calculations include separate cleaning fee revenue from Revarity locked constants.

The money model

Three honest scenarios: bear (conservative), base (realistic), and bull (stretch). Base is what we underwrite to.

Bearconservative
Year-1 operating profit$12,551
ROI262%
Payback5 mo
Baserealistic
Year-1 operating profit$40,890
ROI852%
Payback1 mo
Bullstretch
Year-1 operating profit$56,431
ROI1176%
Payback1 mo
Startup capital · est.
Nightly rate (base)
$263
Occupancy (base)
83%
Monthly profit (base)
$3,408

These come from our standard market read. The deep comp shop found 2 usable listings, under the 6 we require before a comp shop is allowed to set the numbers.

Seasonal demand & event calendar

What drives the peaks: named local demand catalysts.

Art Basel Miami Beach / Miami Art WeekDec 2–7, 2026 · 2–3x base
Ultra Music Festival (Bayfront Park, walkable)Late Mar (Mar 27–29 '26 / Mar 26–28 '27) · 2–4x base
FIFA World Cup — Fan Festival (Bayfront Park) + matchesJun 13–Jul 6, 2026 · 2–3x base
Miami Open (tennis, Hard Rock)Mar 15–29 · 1.3–1.6x
F1 Miami Grand PrixEarly May · 1.5–2x
SOBEWFF + Miami Intl. Boat ShowFeb 11–22 · 1.3–1.5x
Miami Heat season (Kaseya Center, adjacent)Oct–Apr game nights · 1.1–1.3x weekends
Live comps: what the market actually shows

7 of 9 listings left out, their nightly rate wasn't clear

#1 · VRBO
Luxury WTC Condo | Pool, Hot Tub & Movie Theater (The Crosby, Miami Worldcenter)
At-market revenue
$364
/night
Beds / Baths / Sqft1BR / 1BA / 650 sqft
Distance0.20 mi
ADR 30d range$364 to $420
Occupancy (60d cal.)58%
Est. annual revenue$77,059
Reviews (0)
Review themes
  • FIFA/event-oriented location
  • resort-style building amenities
  • walkable to Worldcenter & transit
  • no-party/quiet-building policy
Amenity gaps: Hot tub · Sauna/cold plunge · Movie theater · Co-working lounge
View listing →Shopped Aug 25, 2026
#2 · Expedia
Luxury Resort-style Condo at District 225 Miami
Above-market revenue
$545
/night
Beds / Baths / Sqft1BR / 1BA / 600 sqft
Distance0.10 mi
ADR 30d range$480 to $615
Occupancy (60d cal.)55%
Est. annual revenue$109,409
Reviews (0)
Review themes
  • prime downtown location
  • luxury amenity package
  • new/modern finishes
  • MLK-weekend event pricing observed
Amenity gaps: Spa/sauna/hammam · Rock-climbing wall · Basketball court · Co-working floor
View listing →Shopped Aug 25, 2026
#3 · Booking
Miami Downtown Condos (near Bayfront/Metromover)
Below-market revenue
$207
/night
Beds / Baths / Sqft1BR / 1BA / 600 sqft
Distance0.20 mi
ADR 30d range$207 to $207
Occupancy (60d cal.)50%
Est. annual revenue$37,778
Reviews (0)
Review themes
  • walk to Bayfront/Metromover
  • central downtown
  • price shown all-in incl taxes (excluded from ADR median)
View listing →Shopped Aug 25, 2026
#4 · Airbnb · ★ Superhost
District 225 Modern Downtown Free Parking
rate not clear
Beds / Baths / Sqft1BR / 1BA / 600 sqft
Distance0.10 mi
Occupancy (60d cal.)45%
Reviews (0)
Review themes
  • Superhost (Palermo Home Miami)
  • new listing
  • free parking highlighted
  • skyline views
Amenity gaps: Free parking · Co-working · Rock climbing wall · Basketball court
View listing →Shopped Aug 25, 2026
#5 · Airbnb
Modern 1 Master Bedroom at District 225 #2302
rate not clear
Beds / Baths / Sqft1BR / 2BA / 650 sqft
Distance0.10 mi
Occupancy (60d cal.)50%
Reviews (0)
Review themes
  • central legal-district location
  • modern furnished residence
  • sleeps 4 (queen + sofa bed)
  • building amenity package
Amenity gaps: Second bathroom · Indoor basketball court · Spinning/yoga studio
View listing →Shopped Aug 25, 2026
#6 · Airbnb
District 225 New & Modern Near Miami Worldcenter
rate not clear
Beds / Baths / Sqft1BR / 1BA / 600 sqft
Distance0.10 mi
Occupancy (60d cal.)48%
Reviews (0)
Review themes
  • stay-and-play building
  • steps to Brightline/Worldcenter
  • concert & Heat-game base
  • business/remote-work ready
Amenity gaps: Sauna/steam · Sports simulator · Rock climbing wall · Co-working
View listing →Shopped Aug 25, 2026
#7 · Expedia
Miami - Unit 1703 (subject building)
rate not clear
Beds / Baths / Sqft1BR / 1BA / 559 sqft
Distance0.00 mi
Occupancy (60d cal.)50%
Reviews (0)
Review themes
  • exact subject-building peer
  • 3.5-star apartment tower
  • outdoor pool + gym
  • sleeps 4
Amenity gaps: Laptop workspace
View listing →Shopped Aug 25, 2026
#8 · Other
Miami Unit 2103 (subject building, Casiola-managed)
rate not clear
Beds / Baths / Sqft1BR / 1BA / 600 sqft
Distance0.00 mi
Occupancy (60d cal.)55%
Reviews4.90★ (12)
Review themes
  • clean/new/modern
  • responsive host
  • great for Ultra/festivals
  • smart-building tech learning curve
Amenity gaps: Smart-building keyless access
View listing →Shopped Aug 25, 2026
#9 · VRBO
Elegant 3BR | Rooftop Pool | Walk to Bayfront (Natiivo Miami)
excluded from medians
rate not clear
Beds / Baths / Sqft3BR / 3BA / 1246 sqft
Distance0.15 mi
Occupancy (60d cal.)60%
Reviews4.80★ (54)
Review themes
  • exceptional 9.6/10 rating
  • resort amenities
  • walk to Bayfront/Kaseya
  • mandatory $43.51/night resort fee
  • 3BR — not bed-matched, excluded from medians
Amenity gaps: Spa/steam/sauna · Free covered parking · Bay views
View listing →Shopped Aug 25, 2026
#10 · Booking
501 First Miami Worldcenter by Palermo Home
rate not clear
Beds / Baths / Sqft1BR / 1BA / 650 sqft
Distance0.30 mi
Occupancy (60d cal.)52%
Reviews (0)
Review themes
  • Worldcenter next-door location
  • rooftop pool with hot tub
  • clean & well-maintained
  • professionally managed
Amenity gaps: Hot tub/cold plunge · Water views
View listing →Shopped Aug 25, 2026
Amenities: what it has, what it's missing

Amenities the top comps have that this unit is missing, ranked by revenue impact.

01Dedicated in-unit workspace
Strong

District 225, The Crosby and Natiivo all market co-working and business-traveler appeal; a proper desk, chair, monitor and verified fast Wi-Fi captures Brightline/Worldcenter corporate and remote-work mid-stays that smooth summer troughs.

Est. cost
$300–800 furnish
Est. ADR lift
$15–30/night
Occupancy
+5–10 pts shoulder/summer via mid-stay corporate
02Bundled or discounted parking
Strong

Comps prominently advertise 'free parking'/valet while the subject intake lists parking as not included; a pre-arranged garage pass or partner valet rate removes a common booking objection for drive-in and cruise guests.

Est. cost
$150–250/mo pass
Est. ADR lift
$10–25/night
Occupancy
+5–8 pts for drive-in guests
03Streaming Smart TV + verified fast Wi-Fi
Strong

Universal across the comp set and effectively table stakes at this price tier; without it the unit under-indexes on the amenity filters guests sort by.

Est. cost
$200–500
Est. ADR lift
$5–15/night
04Sleeps-4 sofa-bed + premium bedding
Nice to have

Winning comps sleep 4 (king/queen + sofa bed) and lean into group/event bookings; matching that plus hotel-grade linens widens the addressable group demand hotels can't serve.

Est. cost
$600–1,200
Est. ADR lift
$10–20/night
Occupancy
+ event-weekend group demand
05Self check-in guide + smart lock kit
Nice to have

The building is already keyless but reviews cite check-in confusion; a clear digital arrival guide and in-unit lockbox reduce friction and protect review scores.

Est. cost
$150–400
Est. ADR lift
marginal
Occupancy
protects rating/Superhost status

Cost, ADR lift and rate targets are estimates derived from the live comp set. Advisory only, never part of the verdict, tier, or Year 1 math.

Regulatory & landlord read

Is short term rental legal here, and who owns/manages the building.

REGULATORY
Short term rental statusGRAY
HOA / buildingALLOWED
License requiredYes · ~$300

City of Miami — Miami 21 Zoning Code (lodging permitted in T5/T6/CI-HD transect zones; subject sits in downtown/Park West T6); Miami-Dade County Code §33-28 & civil-penalty Ch. 8CC; Florida DBPR Ch. 509 F.S. vacation-rental license. Sources: https://www.miamidade.gov/building/standards/residential-short-term-vacation-rentals.asp ; https://www.miami.gov (Miami 21)

Pending: Florida SB 280 (statewide STR registration + preemption expansion) was vetoed June 2024; prior framework continues into 2026; City of Miami and Miami-Dade County publicly examining tighter STR regulation in 2026 (monitor)

LANDLORD / OWNER
ManagementBuilding/HOA professionally managed (District 225 cluster managed by Atlantic Pacific Companies); individual unit landlord entity not identified in public records
Management reputationUNKNOWN
LEGALITY CHECK
ResultCAUTION

[Cached: 2026-07-02] YOTELPAD is STR-permissive and purpose-built for transient occupancy, but City of Miami code enforcement in the broader Downtown submarket creates compliance risk.

Seasonal pricing rate card

Suggested ADR targets by season and the named local events that drive the peaks.

Blended annual ADR target
$300–350
PeriodADR targetMin stayNote
Art Basel / Miami Art Week (early Dec)$500–7003 nightsCitywide peak; book 4–6 months out and hold firm.
Ultra Music Week (late Mar)$550–8003–4 nightsBayfront Park is walkable — the single best event window for this address.
FIFA World Cup (Jun 13–Jul 6, 2026)$450–6503 nightsFan Fest at Bayfront + matches at Hard Rock; international demand.
F1 Grand Prix / Miami Open (early May / mid-late Mar)$400–5503 nightsMotorsport + tennis premium weekends.
Winter high-season weekend (Jan–Mar)$350–4502 nightsSnowbird + cruise season; strong baseline.
Winter/shoulder weekday$250–3202 nightsCorporate/Brightline mid-week base; respects downtown hotel ceiling.
Summer weekday (Jul–Sep, non-event)$190–2502 nightsSoft season — lean on cruise pre/post and mid-stays.

Cost, ADR lift and rate targets are estimates derived from the live comp set. Advisory only, never part of the verdict, tier, or Year 1 math.

Neighborhood trajectory

Where this submarket is heading: capital, prices, and the ADR ceiling.

The long-run trajectory is genuinely positive — Worldcenter build-out, Brightline connectivity and a durable global-event calendar anchor demand — but the same construction boom is flooding the immediate submarket with near-identical STR-flexible, amenity-rich units, a clear near-term headwind to occupancy and pricing power.

Home price YoY
Greater Downtown Miami condo inventory is approaching 50,000 units with ~9,100 units announced since 2021 — a 'delivery wave' peak pressuring near-term rents and values.
ADR ceiling growth
+2–4%/yr on the ADR ceiling — event-driven demand (FIFA legacy, Brightline, Worldcenter retail) supports gradual growth, but heavy new supply caps upside.
  • Okan Tower (Miami, Park West — 399 units, 70+ floors) (under construction, ~2027)
  • Waldorf Astoria Residences Miami (Miami — 387 units, 100 floors) (under construction, ~2027)
  • Casa Bella Residences (Downtown — STR-friendly) · $1.1M–5M unit pricing (delivering ~2026)
  • Miami (Arts District — 306 units, 57 floors) (delivering ~2026)
  • District 225 / Natiivo / The Crosby / 501 First (STR-flexible towers) (delivered — saturating the immediate cluster)
The analyst's take

Rare legally-approved STR tower with strong per-night economics — pursue, but confirm the lease STR clause and respect a supply-heavy submarket

OPPORTUNITIES
  • Purpose-built Airbnb-approved tower = rare legal footing vs most City of Miami condos
  • Walk-to-Bayfront: Ultra, FIFA Fan Fest and Kaseya event-weekend premiums
  • Brightline + Worldcenter drive a year-round corporate/mid-stay base to smooth summer troughs
  • Sleeps-4 layout captures groups hotels can't match; multi-night event minimums lift RevPAR
RISKS
  • Lease may not permit STR (intake UNSURE) — deal-breaker until confirmed in writing
  • Heavy new-supply pipeline in the 0.5mi core pressures occupancy and ADR
  • Mandatory building resort/daily fees ($35–43/night) sit outside the model and erode effective margin
  • City of Miami STR framework is licensing-heavy with tightening risk
  • Blended-year ADR sits near the GREEN/AMBER cash-flow boundary — rent-sensitive

What guests say: POSITIVE THEMES (across ~18 reviews): - Cleanliness & newness: guests repeatedly call the units clean, modern and well-appointed with thoughtful welcome packs. - Location: consistent praise for walkability to Bayfront, Bayside, Kaseya Center, Metromover and Brightline. - Event base: multiple reviews specifically cite convenience for Ultra Music Festival and downtown events. - Host responsiveness: professionally managed listings get high marks for fast, easy communication and smooth check-in. NEGATIVE / WATCH THEMES: - Smart-building learning curve: keyless/no-button elevators and app-based entry confuse some older or less tech-savvy guests. - Front-desk / ID registration friction: mandatory ID handoff and building registration add a step at arrival. - Mandatory building fees: $35–43.51/night resort/daily fees and $25–75/day parking surprise guests and pressure value perception. - Transient/quiet-building tension: strict no-party enforcement is a plus for neighbors but a mismatch for group-party bookers.

Risk & compliance checks

Every deal breaker we screen, scored on this property.

Pest & infestationCLEAN

No pest, bed bug, roach, or infestation complaints found across Yelp, TripAdvisor, or building reviews in the last 24 months.

Safety & homeless driftCAUTION

Downtown Miami earns a B/B- crime grade but sits 62–83% above national average; a guest review mentions occasional unhoused individuals near the building entrance.

Building-specific AirbnbCLEAN

Airbnb has a dedicated building page for Miami; multiple active 1BR listings confirmed, high ratings, positive reviews with no structural building complaints.

Hotel ceiling 1miCLEAN

[Cached: 2026-07-02] Projected STR ADR floor of ~$134 sits comfortably below the $269 Downtown Miami/Brickell hotel ADR benchmark.

Zillow rent benchmarkCLEAN

Asking rent of $2,400/mo is at the very low end of the YOTELPAD rental range; comp data suggests market for 1BR units runs $2,400–$3,700/mo.

Landlord historyNO DATA

No landlord LLC name provided; no eviction filings, PACER records, or adverse management history found specific to this unit's owner.

Competition density 0.25miCAUTION

YOTELPAD's 231 STR-designed condo units within the same building create meaningful within-building supply saturation in the 0.25mi radius.

Demand driversCLEAN

[Cached: 2026-07-02] Five-plus named, quantified demand drivers within 5mi confirmed; Downtown Miami / Brickell is Miami's strongest STR demand node.

Noise & nuisanceCAUTION

[Cached: 2026-07-02] MIA east-flow departure corridor and Downtown Miami nightlife and event venues create ambient noise risk; YOTELPAD's floor-to-ceiling windows are impact-rated.

Construction pipelineMAJOR RISK

[Cached: 2026-07-02] ~4,254 units in Brickell's pipeline delivering 2025–2028 — far above the 300-unit major-risk threshold; supply pressure is a high-severity risk to occupancy.

Code violations & insuranceNO DATA

Tier 3 — not run. Trigger 'Go Deeper' to add this domain.

Gentrification & schoolsNO DATA

Tier 3 — not run. Trigger 'Go Deeper' to add this domain.

Sources: every figure links back (25)

Open any to verify the data yourself.

  1. 01TripAdvisor — YOTELPAD Miami · "for only two people, it's the best bang for the buck in terms of location, size of room, cleanliness, and amenities"
  2. 02Casiola — YOTELPAD Unit 2103 Guest Reviews · "This was a great stay, and the apartment is pretty awesome (spot clean), and just as advertised"
  3. 03CrimeGrade.org — Downtown Miami · "Downtown Miami ranks in the 65th percentile for safety, meaning it is safer than 65% of neighborhoods"
  4. 04DoorProfit — Downtown Miami Crime 2026 · "The overall crime index is 162, which is 62% above the national average."
  5. 05DoorProfit — Miami ZIP Crime Score · "The Miami zip code is located in Miami, FL. With a crime score of A-, this area has very low crime"
  6. 06Airbnb — Miami Condominium Building Page · "It's a modern condo tower in the heart of downtown Miami with hotel-style amenities, including a rooftop pool and a fitness center, designed for travelers and short-term stays."
  7. 07Redfin — Miami Unit 2412 · "This unit is perfect for investors, already listed on a short-term rental platform for immediate income potential."
  8. 08Cached from prior Revarity research · 2026-07-02
  9. 09Redfin — Miami Building Rentals · "$2,399-$3,719/mo · 0-2 Beds · 1-2 Baths · 539-1,Miami Ft."
  10. 10CondoBlackBook — YOTELPAD Unit 2601 · "1bed/1bath (445sf) unit can be rented through Airbnb"
  11. 11StepInsideWithMe — YOTELPAD Miami · "NO RENTAL RESTRICTIONS allowing the buyer to have the freedom to optimize his rental capacity"
  12. 12Miami Prime Management — YOTELPAD · "We are a local property management company specialized in individually owned units at the YotelPad Miami building"
  13. 13Miami Condo Investments — YOTELPAD · "YotelPad Miami is a new building developed by Aria Development Group and Aqarat"
  14. 14Miami Condo Lifestyle — YOTELPAD · "Yotelpad Miami has 453 total units including 222 hotel rooms and 231 condo rooms ranging from studio to two-bedroom floorplans"
  15. 15Apartments.com — Miami · "Miami is within 3 minutes or 0.2 mile from Miami Dade College, Wolfson"
  16. 16VRBO comp #1 · Luxury WTC Condo | Pool, Hot Tub & Movie Theater (The Crosby, Miami Worldcenter)
  17. 17Expedia comp #2 · Luxury Resort-style Condo at District 225 Miami
  18. 18Booking comp #3 · Miami Downtown Condos (near Bayfront/Metromover)
  19. 19Airbnb comp #4 · District 225 Modern Downtown Free Parking
  20. 20Airbnb comp #5 · Modern 1 Master Bedroom at District 225 #2302
  21. 21Airbnb comp #6 · District 225 New & Modern Near Miami Worldcenter
  22. 22Expedia comp #7 · Miami - Unit 1703 (subject building)
  23. 23VRBO comp #9 · Elegant 3BR | Rooftop Pool | Walk to Bayfront (Natiivo Miami)
  24. 24Booking comp #10 · 501 First Miami Worldcenter by Palermo Home
  25. 25STR ordinance / regulation
This is decision support, not financial/legal advice. Always do your own due diligence. Full disclaimer →

Figures shown are modeled projections from our analysis engine, not guarantees. Verify everything before committing. Some listing data provided by RentCast.

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