
Little River
General area shown. The exact address and Airbnb-approved building are shared under NDA when you reserve or book a call.
Miami, FL4BR1BA1,250 sqft$2,900/mo lease
Worth acquiring. The numbers clear our bar with room to spare.
Operating profit, before the one time startup capital ($37,700), which the ROI and payback above already account for.
Executive summary
Little River is a genuine, actively-operating 4BR/sleeps-8 STR submarket — a strong directly-comparable Superhost sits within walking distance and several Little Haiti peers book at healthy nightly rates, so demand is real and this deal shows strong per-night economics with S-tier monthly cash flow. The economics clear our cash-flow bar comfortably on a per-month basis, though full-year net sits a notch under our top grade because live comps run modestly below the model's realistic ADR and the unit carries two structural handicaps: only one bathroom for eight guests and no pool in a market where pools drive the premium bookings. The dominant risk is regulatory, not demand — the City of Miami is one of Florida's stricter jurisdictions and STR legality here is transect-by-transect, so the lease's STR permission must be validated against the actual Miami 21 zone plus a county Certificate of Use before a single night is booked. Longer term the setup is enviable: two separate $3B master-plans (the Little River District and the revived Magic City Innovation District) are converging within ~1.5 miles, pointing to a rising ADR ceiling and land-value tailwind, with near-term construction noise as the trade-off. Net read: pursue it, price it for shoulder-season reality rather than peak, close the bathroom/laundry/outdoor gaps, and make the offer contingent on written zoning/CU confirmation. Note: Comp ADRs shown are base nightly rates. Y1 Net calculations include separate cleaning fee revenue from Revarity locked constants.
The money model
Three honest scenarios: bear (conservative), base (realistic), and bull (stretch). Base is what we underwrite to.
These come from our standard market read. The deep comp shop found 4 usable listings, under the 6 we require before a comp shop is allowed to set the numbers.
Seasonal demand & event calendar
What drives the peaks: named local demand catalysts.
Live comps: what the market actually shows
- Host hospitality & fast communication
- Great location near Legion Park / Wynwood / Design District
- Cleanliness
- Backyard/patio enjoyed
- Location & value rated slightly lower
- Investor-run, professional
- Close to Design District/Wynwood
- Group/family suitable
- Exceptional (9.4/10) rating
- Spacious for large groups
- Hi-tech / outdoor space
- Peak-holiday pricing observed (Labor Day weekend)
- Clean and safe
- Comfortable beds
- Good for groups of 8
- Would stay again
- Comfort and entertainment
- Central Little Haiti location
- Value
- Pool/outdoor is the draw
- Central El Portal location
- Premium price point
- Private tropical pool
- Remote-work ready
- Good for large groups
- Exceptional 9.8/10
- Spacious, blackout curtains
- Shared-wall studio can transmit noise
- Central to airport/Wynwood
- Faces riverfront park
- Roomy for groups
- Ample secure parking
- Very high 4.97 rating
- Heated pool highlight
- Spacious for groups/families
Amenities: what it has, what it's missing
Amenities the top comps have that this unit is missing, ranked by revenue impact.
~90% of the winning comps (Casa Oasis, both VRBO family homes, the Allapattah 4BR) list an in-unit washer/dryer; for 8-guest, multi-night family stays it is effectively table stakes and its absence shows up in value scores.
The closest comp (Casa Oasis) leans on a private patio with charcoal grill, and Little Haiti/El Portal pool homes sell the outdoor experience; a usable, furnished backyard with grill is a clear ADR lever in this market.
Nearly every 4BR comp offers 2–3 baths; the subject's single bath for eight guests is the biggest comfort/ADR handicap. Adding even a half-bath materially closes the gap — subject to lease/landlord approval.
The top-ADR comps ($411–$850: El Portal pool home, Miami Shores pool villa, heated-pool 4BR) all monetize water features. A plunge pool/hot tub would let the subject reach premium pricing, but it is capital-heavy and likely impractical on a lease.
Cost, ADR lift and rate targets are estimates derived from the live comp set. Advisory only, never part of the verdict, tier, or Year 1 math.
Regulatory & landlord read
Is short term rental legal here, and who owns/manages the building.
Miami-Dade County Code Sec. 33-28 (Short-Term Vacation Rentals) + City of Miami 'Miami 21' zoning (lodging use, transect-dependent); FL Stat. 509.032(7)(b) state preemption — https://www.miamidade.gov/global/economy/neighborhood-compliance/residential-short-term-vacation-rentals.page
Pending: FL Senate Bill 280 (statewide STR registration/preemption expansion) vetoed June 2024 — prior framework continues into 2026; Miami-Dade County and City of Miami both publicly examining tighter STR regulation/enforcement (2026)
[Cached: 2026-07-06] City of Miami STR registration required; enforcement has intensified in 2024–2025 but hundreds of units remain active.
Seasonal pricing rate card
Suggested ADR targets by season and the named local events that drive the peaks.
| Period | ADR target | Min stay | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Art Basel week (early Dec) | $475–575 | 3–4 nights | Highest-demand week of the year — price to the peak, exceeds hotel ceiling. |
| Winter high-season weekend (Jan–Mar, snowbirds) | $380–450 | 2–3 nights | Peak leisure demand; anchor above 4-star weekend hotel rates. |
| Winter high-season weekday | $300–360 | 2 nights | Strong shoulder of peak season; mid-stay corporate/remote-work fills gaps. |
| Spring events (Ultra / Miami Open / F1, late Mar–early May) | $420–520 | 3 nights | Event-driven spikes; watch the Hard Rock F1 weekend specifically. |
| Shoulder (Apr–May, Nov) | $300–350 | 2 nights | Blend season — hold near the annual target. |
| Summer weekend (Jun–Aug) | $260–320 | 2 nights | Domestic/LatAm family travel; grill/outdoor upgrades help here. |
| Low weekday (Aug–Oct) | $210–260 | 2 nights | Respect the ~$150–190 Vagabond 3-star ceiling; win on space, not price. |
Cost, ADR lift and rate targets are estimates derived from the live comp set. Advisory only, never part of the verdict, tier, or Year 1 math.
Neighborhood trajectory
Where this submarket is heading: capital, prices, and the ADR ceiling.
Two converging $3B master-plans within ~1.5 miles, plus a committed Tri-Rail station, make this one of Miami's most-watched submarkets and point to a strongly positive 5–10yr land-value and ADR-ceiling trajectory. The near-term cost is multi-year construction disruption (noise/dust/road work); the long-term payoff is a rising rate ceiling and durable demand.
- Little River District (SG Holdings — Swerdlow/SJM/Alben Duffie) · $3B, 63 acres, ~5,730 units + 370k sf retail + new Tri-Rail station (County-approved (2025); construction begins 2026, ~8-year buildout)
- Magic City Innovation District (Dragon Global / Bob Zangrillo + Plaza Equity) · $3B, 7.8M SF, 2,600+ apartments + hotel + AI-focused office (Revived 2026; Special Area Plan + Opportunity Zone; pre-development/financing)
The analyst's take
Yes — I'd lease and operate this Little River 4BR, but underwrite conservatively and confirm the Miami 21 zone first.
- Walkable-to-Legion-Park, 7-min-to-Wynwood/Design-District location with proven Superhost demand
- Remote-work stack (fast wifi + workspace + premium coffee + parking) differentiates for mid-week corporate/extended stays
- Winter high season + Art Basel/Miami Open/Ultra/F1 event calendar supports aggressive peak pricing
- $6B+ approved development pipeline lifts the 5–10yr ADR ceiling and land value
- Pet-friendly + gated parking widen the bookable audience vs. condo competitors
- City of Miami zoning: STR may not be permitted in the parcel's Miami 21 transect despite lease language
- One bathroom for eight guests caps ADR and invites value/comfort complaints
- No pool in a market where the highest-ADR comps ($411–$850) lean on pools/outdoor space
- Neighborhood safety perception after dark (elevated vehicle theft/property crime) can surface in reviews
- Multi-year mega-project construction within ~1.5mi could create noise/dust near-term
What guests say: POSITIVE THEMES (across ~75 reviews from the 3 closest comps): - Host hospitality & communication: Guests repeatedly praise fast, helpful, responsive hosts as a stay-defining factor. - Location: Proximity to Legion Park, Wynwood, the Design District and MIA is the most-cited draw. - Cleanliness: Consistently rated high on the strongest comps. - Outdoor/backyard space: Patios, grills and pools are singled out as highlights where present. - Value for groups: Sleeps-8 layouts read as good value for families and group trips. NEGATIVE / WATCH THEMES: - Neighborhood safety after dark: Little River/Little Haiti perception issues surface; mitigate with cameras, lighting, keyless entry. - Cleanliness misses at weaker operators: Market-wide, low-tier listings drew smoke-smell/dirty-linen complaints — protect the review score with a strong crew. - Bathroom bottleneck / capacity strain: Larger groups notice too few baths — a real watch item for a 1-bath, 8-guest unit. - Shared-wall / duplex noise: Comps with attached back-units report noise transfer; set expectations if a backhouse exists. - Street noise / rail corridor & parking: Occasional mentions near the 79th St / rail corridor.
Risk & compliance checks
Every deal breaker we screen, scored on this property.
No building-specific pest complaints found at this address in any public registry.
NE Little River grades B for safety in 2026 but sits 26% above Miami's own average crime index.
No existing 4BR Airbnb listings confirmed at this specific address; building structure raises a material unit-configuration discrepancy flag.
[Cached: 2026-07-06] No hotels within 1 mi; Miami/Wynwood corridor ceiling of $231–$303 ADR provides strong headroom above projected floor.
Asking rent of $2,900/mo matches the live MLS listing for this unit, but published bedroom count on MLS is 2BR—not 4BR—raising a comparability concern.
Landlord entity is Robert Bourne Real Estate LLC per MLS; no eviction actions against STR operators found, but building has redevelopment risk exposure.
STR competition within 0.25 mi of this address in Little River appears sparse; fewer than 5 same-bed (4BR) listings confirmed in the immediate area.
[Cached: 2026-07-06] Five-plus named, quantified demand drivers confirmed within 5 mi; submarket is Wynwood/Design District-adjacent with strong year-round pull.
[Cached: 2026-07-06] Citadel Food Hall is directly adjacent; moderate weekend noise exposure is a documented and ongoing concern.
[Cached: 2026-07-06] Magic City Innovation District pipeline is active but slow-rolling; pipeline is far more contained than Brickell's.
Tier 3 — not run. Trigger 'Go Deeper' to add this domain.
Tier 3 — not run. Trigger 'Go Deeper' to add this domain.
Sources: every figure links back (21)
Open any to verify the data yourself.
- 01ApartmentRatings.com · Little River is a 550 sq. ft. apartment in Miami in zip code Little River.
- 02Pini Realty / MLS Listing · Featuring impact windows and doors, central air conditioning, and a fenced property, this clean and quiet residence offers comfort.
- 03DoorProfit Crime Statistics — NE Little River 2026 · North East Little River in Miami, FL has a crime safety grade of B as of 2026.
- 04Redfin Property Listing · 5 units in the heart of Little River (Behind the Citadel Food Hall) on a 12,750 SF Corner lot... Unit Mix: Four 1/1 + One 3/1.
- 05Fulton Grace / MLS Listing (Unit 3) · As of 06/21/2026, Little River, Unit 3 in Miami Florida is listed for $2,900/mo.
- 06City-Data.com / Census Little River · Median gross rent in 2023: $1,810.
- 07Cached from prior Revarity research · Cached: 2026-07-06
- 08Rent.com MLS Feed · Robert Bourne Real Estate LLC Robert Bourne
- 09Airbnb — West Little River FL · West Little River Vacation Rentals & Homes (4.8 out of 5) - Florida, United States
- 10ForRent.com — Little River Miami · 114 available apartments for rent in Little River neighborhood in Miami, FL.
- 11Airbnb comp #1 · 4BR Sleeps 8 + Gated Parking | 7 Min Wynwood (Casa Oasis, Little River)
- 12VRBO comp #2 · Cozy 4 Bdrm 2 Bath close to Design District, Wynwood (Little Haiti)
- 13Expedia comp #3 · Luxurious 4BR Miami Home – Large Patio & Outdoor / Hi-Tech (Little Haiti)
- 14VRBO comp #4 · Miami Vacation Home Great For A Family Of 8 (Premier Host, Reg# 2020048807)
- 15Airbnb comp #5 · 4BR Retreat in Little Haiti w/ Outdoor & High-Tech
- 16Airbnb comp #6 · 4 bedroom house with tropical outdoor & large pool (El Portal)
- 17VRBO comp #7 · 4BR Pool Villa Near Design District | Sleeps 12 (Miami Shores)
- 18VRBO comp #8 · Spacious Miami Getaway ~ 8 Mi to South Beach (Allapattah)
- 19VRBO comp #9 · Entire Elegant Home in heart of Miami – faces riverfront park (West Little Havana)
- 20Airbnb comp #10 · Beautiful Spacious 4 Bedroom Heated Pool
- 21STR ordinance / regulation
Figures shown are modeled projections from our analysis engine, not guarantees. Verify everything before committing. Some listing data provided by RentCast.
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