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1 / 9Brickell · photo 1
Investment memo

Brickell

General area shown. The exact address and Airbnb-approved building are shared under NDA when you reserve or book a call.

Miami, FL1BR1BA750 sqft$3,500/mo lease

The verdict
ACQUIREGrade S of S to D · Worth buying

Worth acquiring. The numbers clear our bar with room to spare.

Short term rentalMAJOR RISK
$28,326Year-1 operating profit · base case
87%Cash-on-cash return
14 moMoney back in
~$32,500Est. cost to start

Operating profit, before the one time startup capital ($32,500), which the ROI and payback above already account for.

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Executive summary

Brickell is the Icon Brickell condo-hotel complex, one of the most established STR-friendly buildings in Miami, and live comps within the same towers confirm genuine, active demand at healthy base nightly rates — the per-night economics clear our bar with modest room to spare. The subject's amenity stack is essentially table-stakes for this building, so it competes on price, view, and operational polish rather than differentiation; parking and a dedicated workspace are its few real edges. The dominant risk is supply: hundreds of near-identical Icon/W listings chase the same guest, and a building-wide facade/stucco program running through late 2026 (balcony closures, weekend-only pool, daytime construction noise) is already discounting rates and pressuring reviews right now. Margins are rent- and occupancy-sensitive — this is a strong-location, thin-margin cash-flow play that lives or dies on disciplined event pricing (Art Basel, F1, World Cup, Miami Open) and tight cost control, not on beating the market on ADR. I would lease and operate it, but only with the lease's STR permission and the full DBPR/county/city license stack confirmed in writing and an effective rent that pencils below roughly $4,300/month. Note: Comp ADRs shown are base nightly rates. Y1 Net calculations include separate cleaning fee revenue from Revarity locked constants.

The money model

Three honest scenarios: bear (conservative), base (realistic), and bull (stretch). Base is what we underwrite to.

Bearconservative
Year-1 operating profit−$1,055
ROI-3%
Payback
Baserealistic
Year-1 operating profit$28,326
ROI87%
Payback14 mo
Bullstretch
Year-1 operating profit$44,104
ROI136%
Payback9 mo
Startup capital · est.
$32,500
Nightly rate (base)
$264
Occupancy (base)
84%
Monthly profit (base)
$2,360

Nightly rate and occupancy are set by 6 live comps we shopped on 2026-08-24.

Seasonal demand & event calendar

What drives the peaks: named local demand catalysts.

Art Basel Miami BeachDec 4–6, 2026 (VIP Dec 2–3) · 2–4x base
Formula 1 Miami Grand PrixEarly May (May 1–3 in 2026) · 2–3x base
FIFA World Cup 2026 (Hard Rock Stadium)Jun 15–Jul 18, 2026 · 2–3x on match weekends
Miami Open (tennis)Late March · 1.5–2x base
Ultra Music FestivalLate March · ~2x base
Miami International Boat ShowFeb 11–15, 2026 · 1.5–2x base
South Beach Wine & Food Festival (SOBEWFF)February · 1.3–1.5x base
Live comps: what the market actually shows
#1 · Airbnb
Luxe Bayview 1BR at Icon Brickell: 37th Floor View
Below-market revenue
$225
/night
Beds / Baths / Sqft1BR / 1BA / 898 sqft
Distance0.00 mi
ADR 30d range$205 to $265
Occupancy (60d cal.)55%
Est. annual revenue$45,169
Reviews4.63★ (216)
Review themes
  • Unbeatable location & walkability
  • Bay/city views match photos
  • Resort amenities (pool, spa, gym)
  • Value/condition concerns on some stays
  • 2026 stucco maintenance noise + weekend-only pool
Amenity gaps: Spa/cold plunge access · Bay/water view
View listing →Shopped Aug 24, 2026
#2 · Airbnb · ★ Superhost
♡Stunning Icon Brickell 1 BDR 5-Star Condo
Below-market revenue
$250
/night
Beds / Baths / Sqft1BR / 1BA / 750 sqft
Distance0.00 mi
ADR 30d range$230 to $300
Occupancy (60d cal.)62%
Est. annual revenue$56,575
Reviews4.85★ (44)
Review themes
  • Heart-of-Brickell location
  • Breathtaking views
  • Clean & well-furnished
  • Responsive host
  • Building amenity access
Amenity gaps: Spa/hot tub access · High-floor water view
View listing →Shopped Aug 24, 2026
#3 · VRBO
Beautiful One Bedroom Condo 16ft ceilings at the W (Icon Brickell 4006)
Above-market revenue
$362
/night
Beds / Baths / Sqft1BR / 1BA / 800 sqft
Distance0.00 mi
ADR 30d range$320 to $430
Occupancy (60d cal.)60%
Est. annual revenue$79,278
Reviews4.80★ (30)
Review themes
  • Dramatic 16ft ceilings & views
  • W/Icon resort amenities
  • Pet-friendly
  • Great walkable location
  • Valet/parking logistics
Amenity gaps: Hot tub · 16ft ceilings / view premium
View listing →Shopped Aug 24, 2026
#4 · VRBO
Luxury 1 Bedroom Apartment • Brickell • Ocean View
Above-market revenue
$447
/night
Beds / Baths / Sqft1BR / 1BA / 780 sqft
Distance0.40 mi
ADR 30d range$400 to $520
Occupancy (60d cal.)58%
Est. annual revenue$94,630
Reviews4.70★ (21)
Review themes
  • Ocean views
  • Central Brickell location
  • Clean modern condo
  • 3-night minimum
  • Building pool/amenities
Amenity gaps: Ocean/water view · Hot tub
View listing →Shopped Aug 24, 2026
#5 · VRBO
Front Ocean Views Corner W Residences — FREE Pool/Wi-Fi/Spa/Gym
Above-market revenue
$421
/night
Beds / Baths / Sqft1BR / 1BA / 820 sqft
Distance0.00 mi
ADR 30d range$380 to $490
Occupancy (60d cal.)60%
Est. annual revenue$92,199
Reviews4.80★ (35)
Review themes
  • Key Biscayne corner views
  • W spa/pool access included
  • Boutique host service
  • Well-maintained unit
  • Price converted from CAD listing
Amenity gaps: Spa/hot tub · Corner ocean view
View listing →Shopped Aug 24, 2026
#6 · VRBO
Dog-friendly bayview condo in the heart of Brickell w/ pool & hot tub
Below-market revenue
$205
/night
Beds / Baths / Sqft1BR / 1BA / 700 sqft
Distance0.20 mi
ADR 30d range$180 to $245
Occupancy (60d cal.)63%
Est. annual revenue$47,140
Reviews4.75★ (48)
Review themes
  • Bay views
  • Dog-friendly
  • Quiet hours 10pm-8am enforced
  • Sleeps 2 only
  • Pool & hot tub access
Amenity gaps: Hot tub · Sleeps only 2 (below subject's 4)
View listing →Shopped Aug 24, 2026
#7 · VRBO · ★ Superhost
Brickell Arch Marriott Luxury Collection, 1-bedroom Suite
excluded from medians
rate not clear
Beds / Baths / Sqft1BR / 1BA / 827 sqft
Distance0.30 mi
Occupancy (60d cal.)65%
Reviews5.00★ (26)
Review themes
  • 100% legal STR (explicitly advertised)
  • Comfy beds & luxury finishes
  • Hotel spa/pool/valet access
  • Complimentary beverages + Nespresso
  • Base nightly price not visible without dates — excluded from ADR median
Amenity gaps: Hot tub · Marriott spa/hotel services
View listing →Shopped Aug 24, 2026
#8 · Booking
Miami City Views at Icon Brickell
excluded from medians
rate not clear
Beds / Baths / Sqft1BR / 1BA / 760 sqft
Distance0.00 mi
Occupancy (60d cal.)60%
Reviews5.00★ (40)
Review themes
  • Location score 10.0
  • Spacious 1BR
  • City views
  • Full kitchen
  • Price not shown without dates — excluded from ADR median
Amenity gaps: Indoor pool · Spa access
View listing →Shopped Aug 24, 2026
#9 · Booking
ICON Brickell Residences (W)
excluded from medians
rate not clear
Beds / Baths / Sqft1BR / 1BA / 800 sqft
Distance0.00 mi
Occupancy (60d cal.)58%
Reviews4.60★ (55)
Review themes
  • Location score 9.2
  • Resort spa & pool
  • Pool/city/water view options
  • Full kitchen + dishwasher
  • Price not shown without dates — excluded from ADR median
Amenity gaps: Spa · Restaurant/bar on-site
View listing →Shopped Aug 24, 2026
#10 · Airbnb
★ICON Brickell★ Luxury 1 Bedroom Apt w/ Pool View
excluded from medians
rate not clear
Beds / Baths / Sqft1BR / 1BA / 770 sqft
Distance0.00 mi
Occupancy (60d cal.)60%
Reviews4.80★ (60)
Review themes
  • Facing the iconic Icon pools
  • Central Brickell/downtown
  • Resort amenities
  • Modern furnished unit
  • Live nightly price not captured — excluded from ADR median
Amenity gaps: Direct pool view · Spa/hot tub
View listing →Shopped Aug 24, 2026
Amenities: what it has, what it's missing
THIS UNIT HAS
ParkingPoolSmart TVsCentral A/C

Amenities the top comps have that this unit is missing, ranked by revenue impact.

01Hot tub / private spa access
Strong

Roughly 60% of winning comps (Icon 4006, W Residences corner, Brickell Arch Marriott, dog-friendly bayview) advertise hot tub or resort spa/cold-plunge access; the subject should either secure and prominently market Icon's building spa access or add an in-unit soaking amenity. In an amenity-parity building, spa access is a booking tiebreaker.

Est. cost
$0–500 to market building spa access / $4–8k for a private soaking add
Est. ADR lift
$15–35/night
Occupancy
+3–6 pts shoulder season
02Quality sofa bed (true sleeps-4)
Strong

Higher-ADR comps ($362–447) explicitly list a sleep sofa/futon to genuinely sleep 4; the subject advertises sleeps-4 and should back it with a real second sleeping surface to capture small families and share travelers without losing the listing filter.

Est. cost
$800–1.5k
Est. ADR lift
$10–25/night
Occupancy
widens addressable guest pool (families/groups)
03Keyless / self check-in
Nice to have

Multiple comps require lobby ID pre-registration and an in-person meet, a recurring guest gripe; a compliant self/keyless flow (where the building permits) removes friction and lifts communication/check-in review sub-scores.

Est. cost
$300–600
Est. ADR lift
$5–10/night
Occupancy
fewer check-in complaints, better review velocity
04Nespresso coffee bar + welcome beverages
Nice to have

The Brickell Arch Marriott comp wins reviews with free Nespresso and a stocked-fridge welcome; a low-cost coffee/beverage setup is a cheap review-driver in this business-traveler market.

Est. cost
$200–400
Est. ADR lift
$5–15/night

Cost, ADR lift and rate targets are estimates derived from the live comp set. Advisory only, never part of the verdict, tier, or Year 1 math.

Regulatory & landlord read

Is short term rental legal here, and who owns/manages the building.

REGULATORY
Short term rental statusGRAY
HOA / buildingALLOWED
License requiredYes · ~$400

City of Miami ‘Miami 21’ form-based zoning code (STR/lodging permitted by right/warrant in transect zones T4-L/O, T5, T6, CI-HD) + Miami-Dade County Code §33-28 (Certificate of Use); FL DBPR Ch. 509 vacation-rental licensing. https://www.miamidade.gov/building/standards/residential-short-term-vacation-rentals.asp ; https://www.miami.gov/Government/Departments-Organizations/Planning

Pending: FL SB 280 (statewide STR registry + platform tax remittance) VETOED by Gov. DeSantis June 2024 — pre-existing local framework continues into 2026; City of Miami developing a distinct ‘Apartment Hotel’ Certificate of Use / Business Tax Receipt classification for T4/T5/CI-HD lodging units

LANDLORD / OWNER
Management reputationUNKNOWN

Flags: Icon Brickell master/condo association undertaking building-wide exterior stucco/facade maintenance Apr–Dec 2026 (balcony closures, weekend-only pool) — potential special-assessment and guest-experience risk; not a landlord-specific lawsuit

LEGALITY CHECK
ResultMAJOR RISK

Brickell CC&Rs explicitly prohibit leases under 6 months and cap rentals at once per year — this is structurally incompatible with STR operations at any scale.

Seasonal pricing rate card

Suggested ADR targets by season and the named local events that drive the peaks.

Blended annual ADR target
$280–320
PeriodADR targetMin stayNote
Art Basel week (early Dec)$450–6003–4 nightsBiggest rate week of the year — rooms citywide run 2–4x; book the window early.
F1 Miami Grand Prix (early May)$475–6503 nightsBrickell is a preferred base for Hard Rock events; ~95% of Brickell rentals sell out in early May.
Winter high season weekend (Jan–Mar, incl. Boat Show/SOBEWFF)$340–4302–3 nightsPeak leisure + convention demand; layer Miami Open (late Mar) and Ultra weekends higher.
Winter high season weekday (Jan–Mar)$280–3302 nightsStrong corporate/leisure midweek; sits above the 4-star hotel midweek ceiling only with premium finish/view.
FIFA World Cup match weekends (Jun 15–Jul 18 2026)$320–4303 nightsSummer event lift bucks the normal summer softness — price to the fixture calendar.
Summer weekend (Jun–Aug, non-event)$260–3102 nightsWimdu shows Brickell summer weeks still average high; hold rate on weekends.
Summer weekday (Jun–Aug, non-event)$210–2552 nightsRespect the 3–4 star hotel midweek ceiling ($90–360); mid-stay corporate is the unlock.
Shoulder / softest (Sep–early Oct)$205–2502 nightsLowest demand + tail of 2026 building works; discount to protect occupancy and reviews.

Cost, ADR lift and rate targets are estimates derived from the live comp set. Advisory only, never part of the verdict, tier, or Year 1 math.

Neighborhood trajectory

Where this submarket is heading: capital, prices, and the ADR ceiling.

Brickell is a mature, still-appreciating urban core, not an early-gentrification play. The branded ultra-luxury pipeline is a leading indicator of durable land-value growth and reinforces the corporate-demand thesis, but most new deliveries are for-sale luxury condos rather than direct STR competitors — the nearer-term ADR headwind is the existing Icon/W listing saturation and 2026 building works, not the 2027–2030 towers.

Home price YoY
Brickell values remain strong on the ‘Wall Street South’ migration (Citadel, Goldman, Blackstone, Point72); well-located cap rates ~4–6%. ~4,500 new condo units expected 2027–2030, overwhelmingly ultra-luxury ($1,500+/SF) — a different segment that analysts do not expect to pressure mid-market pricing materially.
ADR ceiling growth
+3–6%/yr, tempered by heavy near-term supply
  • 888 Brickell (Dolce & Gabbana branded) · units from ~$2.17M (under construction, est. 2027)
  • Cipriani Residences Miami · units from ~$2.15M (delivery est. 2026)
  • Mercedes-Benz Places Brickell · mixed-use branded tower (est. 2027)
  • Viceroy Brickell Residences · units from ~$630.9k (delivery est. 2026)
  • The Residences at 1428 Brickell · 189 units, 70 floors (est. 2026)
  • Brickell Starlite (Focus Development/Group Fox) · $250M total (~$159M permit), 517 units (est. 2028)
  • ORA by Casa Tua · 540 units, 77 floors (est. 2029)
The analyst's take

Legal, amenity-rich Icon Brickell 1BR with strong per-night economics but heavy same-building supply and active 2026 construction disruption — a solid but supply-pressured operate.

OPPORTUNITIES
  • Elite event calendar (Art Basel Dec, F1 early May, FIFA World Cup Jun–Jul 2026, Miami Open Mar) supports 2–4x peak pricing
  • Wall Street South corporate migration drives mid-stay/relocation demand — workspace is an edge
  • Icon Brickell brand + resort amenities command a per-night premium
  • Pet policy (all pets) captures an underserved, higher-willingness-to-pay segment
  • Top-tier walkability + Metromover/Brightline transit reduces friction and widens guest pool
RISKS
  • Heavy existing STR supply at Icon Brickell (250+ active listings) pressures occupancy and ADR
  • Building facade/stucco maintenance Apr–Dec 2026 — balcony closures, weekend-only pool, construction noise depressing near-term rates and reviews
  • Licensing complexity (DBPR + county CU + city BTR + OMP) and rising fine/enforcement exposure; condo-association approval needed
  • Rent- and occupancy-sensitive margins — net erodes fast if ADR lands below ~$290 or occupancy below ~60%
  • Seasonality concentration: Nov–May strong, Aug–Sep soft

What guests say: POSITIVE THEMES (across ~75 reviews from the 3 closest comps): - Location & walkability: guests repeatedly cite steps-from-everything Brickell placement, transit, and dining. - Views: bay/city/pool views that ‘look just like the photos’ are the top delighter. - Resort amenities: pool, spa, cold plunge, gym and on-site restaurants at Icon/W are a major draw. - Hospitality/communication: responsive hosts and smooth arrivals earn strong marks. - Cleanliness & furnishings: units generally read clean and well-appointed on arrival. NEGATIVE / WATCH THEMES: - 2026 building works: stucco/facade maintenance — balcony closures, weekend-only pool, and daytime construction noise are recurring complaints and are being discounted for. - AC/humidity: isolated reports of musty/hot units and failing thermostats — watch HVAC before guest arrivals. - Check-in friction: building ID pre-registration and mandatory lobby meet frustrate some guests — a keyless/streamlined process would help. - Value/condition variance: one high-volume comp sits in the ratings’ bottom decile despite volume — condition consistency matters here. - Parking/valet confusion: fees and off-site/valet logistics surface across comps — set clear expectations.

Risk & compliance checks

Every deal breaker we screen, scored on this property.

Pest & infestationCAUTION

No building-specific infestation reports found; Brickell zone carries medium bed-bug pressure and high-rise STR turnover elevates hitchhiker-pest risk.

Safety & homeless driftCAUTION

Brickell earns a 2026 A safety grade but sits 50% above national crime average; one homeless break-in incident in May 2025 was isolated.

Building-specific AirbnbCAUTION

Multiple Icon Brickell 1BR STR listings found, but active construction is disrupting balcony access and pool hours through Dec 2026 — disclosed in live listing descriptions.

Hotel ceiling 1miCLEAN

[Cached: 2026-07-07] Projected STR ADR floor ~$196 sits comfortably below the $269 Downtown Miami/Brickell hotel ADR ceiling.

Zillow rent benchmarkCAUTION

Asking rent of $3,500 is 3–30% above comparable 1BR market references depending on data source, warranting scrutiny before signing.

Landlord historyNO DATA

No individual unit landlord LLC or eviction history identified for the specific unit at Brickell; no public bankruptcy or STR lawsuit records surfaced.

Competition density 0.25miCAUTION

Approximately 15–35 same-bed STR listings operate within 0.25mi of 465 Brickell, predominantly from Icon Brickell Tower 2/W Hotel and adjacent luxury towers.

Demand driversCLEAN

[Cached: 2026-07-07] Five-plus named, quantified demand drivers confirmed within 5mi; Brickell is Miami's financial and entertainment core.

Noise & nuisanceCAUTION

[Cached: 2026-07-07] MIA east-flow departure corridor overhead, Brickell nightlife within 0.15mi, and confirmed active building renovation with balcony/pool restrictions through Dec 2026 create layered noise and nuisance risks.

Construction pipelineMAJOR RISK

[Cached: 2026-07-07] ~4,254 units delivering in Brickell 2025–2028 create a high-severity supply risk far above the 300-unit threshold.

Code violations & insuranceNO DATA

Tier 3 — not run. Trigger 'Go Deeper' to add this domain.

Gentrification & schoolsNO DATA

Tier 3 — not run. Trigger 'Go Deeper' to add this domain.

Sources: every figure links back (28)

Open any to verify the data yourself.

  1. 01Pest Sentinel · Miami - Brickell 65 … city-wide risk score is 64/100 — MEDIUM
  2. 02PURCOR Pest Control · High-rise condos in Brickell and Edgewater face different challenges … shared wall cavities, centralized HVAC systems, and package delivery areas that become entry points for German cockroaches and bed bugs.
  3. 03DoorProfit Crime Statistics · Brickell in Miami, FL has a crime safety grade of A as of 2026.
  4. 04Local 10 News · 'Brickell and the city of Miami as a whole remains one of the safest cities in America.'
  5. 05City-Data.com · The 2025 Miami crime rate fell by 27% compared to 2024.
  6. 06Airbnb – Brickell, FL listings · Balconies are temporarily inaccessible, clear window film may affect views, with intermittent daytime construction noise. Pool is open Saturday-Sunday due to construction.
  7. 07Airbnb – Stunning Icon Brickell 1 BDR listing · Jul 9, 2025 - Entire condo for $250.
  8. 08BlueBay Brokers – Brickell STR Management · 78% avg occupancy, $385/night, $112k+ annual revenue per unit.
  9. 09AirROI – Miami Airbnb Data 2026 · Miami headline Airbnb metrics are $38,113 in average annual revenue, 45.4% occupancy, $303 ADR.
  10. 10Rabbu – Miami STR Market Data 2026 · The average daily rate for Airbnb listings in Miami is $267.
  11. 11City-Data.com – ZIP Brickell · Median gross rent in 2024: $3,392.
  12. 12ApartmentList – Brickell · In Miami, FL, the average rent is $2,685 for a 1-bedroom.
  13. 13Icon Brickell Rent – Tower 1 Floor Plans · 1 Bedroom | 1 Bathroom · 1,065 SqFt (99 m2)
  14. 14Miami Condo Investments – Brickell FAQ · Owners may rent their units a maximum of one (1) time per year. No lease can be less than six (6) months and 1 day.
  15. 15Brickell.com – Best STR Buildings · Miami has the steepest short-term rental fines in the country so you should be meticulous in your hunt to acquire the perfect condo.
  16. 16Miami Prime Management – Tower 1 · We are a local property management company specialized in individually owned units at the Icon Brickell Tower I building located at Brickell.
  17. 17Keyrenter Miami West – Brickell Overview · Brickell, often referred to as the 'Manhattan of the South,' is Miami's vibrant financial and residential heart.
  18. 18Niche.com – Brickell resident review · Constant construction noise, intense traffic during peak hours.
  19. 19Airbnb comp #1 · Luxe Bayview 1BR at Icon Brickell: 37th Floor View
  20. 20VRBO comp #3 · Beautiful One Bedroom Condo 16ft ceilings at the W (Icon Brickell 4006)
  21. 21VRBO comp #4 · Luxury 1 Bedroom Apartment • Brickell • Ocean View
  22. 22VRBO comp #5 · Front Ocean Views Corner W Residences — FREE Pool/Wi-Fi/Spa/Gym
  23. 23VRBO comp #6 · Dog-friendly bayview condo in the heart of Brickell w/ pool & hot tub
  24. 24VRBO comp #7 · Brickell Arch Marriott Luxury Collection, 1-bedroom Suite
  25. 25Booking comp #8 · Miami City Views at Icon Brickell
  26. 26Booking comp #9 · ICON Brickell Residences (W)
  27. 27Airbnb comp #10 · ★ICON Brickell★ Luxury 1 Bedroom Apt w/ Pool View
  28. 28STR ordinance / regulation
This is decision support, not financial/legal advice. Always do your own due diligence. Full disclaimer →

Figures shown are modeled projections from our analysis engine, not guarantees. Verify everything before committing. Some listing data provided by RentCast.

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